Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037575 0.040568 0.043709 0.047256 0.051156 0.055320 0.060109
2025-04-20 0.032808 0.037041 0.041729 0.047327 0.053856 0.061262 0.070343
2025-04-27 0.029925 0.034943 0.040732 0.047949 0.056766 0.067264 0.080827
2025-05-04 0.027365 0.032812 0.039304 0.047682 0.058311 0.071484 0.089264
2025-05-11 0.025384 0.031124 0.038155 0.047502 0.059753 0.075481 0.097552
2025-05-18 0.023699 0.029624 0.037058 0.047200 0.060885 0.079015 0.105370
2025-05-25 0.022345 0.028421 0.036208 0.047088 0.062164 0.082726 0.113623
2025-06-01 0.020945 0.027046 0.035014 0.046381 0.062508 0.085088 0.120051
2025-06-08 0.019631 0.025694 0.033749 0.045456 0.062428 0.086768 0.125518
2025-06-15 0.018618 0.024685 0.032874 0.044996 0.062938 0.089277 0.132376
2025-06-22 0.017719 0.023776 0.032077 0.044574 0.063440 0.091761 0.139338
2025-06-29 0.016760 0.022731 0.031023 0.043700 0.063179 0.093017 0.144362
2025-07-06 0.016278 0.022343 0.030897 0.044201 0.065063 0.097774 0.155659
2025-07-13 0.015681 0.021760 0.030450 0.044184 0.066125 0.101276 0.165127
2025-07-20 0.015287 0.021449 0.030385 0.044737 0.068112 0.106412 0.177918
2025-07-27 0.014710 0.020838 0.029833 0.044487 0.068760 0.109324 0.186925
2025-08-03 0.014195 0.020295 0.029356 0.044320 0.069518 0.112455 0.196603
2025-08-10 0.013688 0.019741 0.028832 0.044042 0.070059 0.115222 0.205816
2025-08-17 0.013256 0.019282 0.028431 0.043939 0.070881 0.118531 0.216384
2025-08-24 0.012725 0.018648 0.027727 0.043289 0.070697 0.119973 0.223301
2025-08-31 0.012183 0.017974 0.026929 0.042438 0.070099 0.120592 0.228553
2025-09-07 0.011763 0.017479 0.026398 0.042014 0.070239 0.122603 0.236920
2025-09-14 0.011375 0.017019 0.025904 0.041626 0.070417 0.124684 0.245625